Monday, November 1, 2010

Nov. 2

By the time this is read by all but a few, the events of this day will already be playing out in full effect.

Whether or not there is a GOP landslide, the question which may be left unanswered is if the landslide signals real change.

I think there are some key races which will signal something bigger than just a new boss overseeing the same old system:

1. Reid-Angle - if Harry Reid wins it will be a major disappointment and will likely portend a night that will not meet expectations; if he wins comfortably, look for headlines about a GOP failure.

2. O'Donnell-Coons - A comfortable Coons victory means that little has changed. A close race means the Tea Party is growing in power and is not going away. An O'Donnell victory signals a massive revolt and that big changes will occur in short order.

3. Hartzler-Skelton - A bellewether of business as usual. Skelton is representative of "the club" and has had an easy go for decades. A defeat will be almost as apocalyptic as the DE race.

4. WA and CA - The races for the Senate and CA governor will be coming in as the outcome is becoming clearer. If 2 or 3 go Republican, it will establish the grass roots as a new power broker.

Let's watch and see and tonight or in the morning I will analyze what the results will probably mean for us, for them, and how the losers are likely to react.

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